Updated April 30th 2026, 20:36 IST

Dispur: Pollster Today's Chanakya has predicted a sweeping victory for Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in Assam. According to the prediction, NDA will clinch victory in 102 ± 9 constituencies, way before the majority mark of 64 seats in the 126-seat state Assembly.
The pollster has predicted that the Congress-led Asom Sonmilito Morcha will bag 23 ± 9 seats and other parties will win 1± seats.
According to the prediction, Himanta Biswa Sarma is set to return as the Chief Minister of Assam for the second term and the BJP-led NDA will form a government in the state for the third straight time. Sarma contested elections from the Jalukbari constituency.
Vote Share
Today's Chanakya has predicted that 50% ± 3% votes will fall in the bag of NDA. Further, 38% ± 3% votes have been predicted to have been cast for Asom Sonmilito Morcha, while other parties got only 12% ± 3% votes.
According to Today's Chanakya, 14% of Muslims voted for BJP and its allies, while 66% Muslims voted for Congress and its Asom Sonmilito Morcha allies.
Meanwhile, 68% people from the Scheduled Cast (SC) community voted for NDA, with 27% voting for Congress and its allies. Further, it is predicted that 69% of people from the Other Backward Caste (OBC) voted for NDA and 23% voted for Asom Sonmilito Morcha.
Meanwhile, 63% people from the Scheduled Tribe (ST) community are predicted to have voted for NDA, with 26% voting for Asom Sonmilito Morcha.
The state Assembly elections in Assam concluded on April 9. The counting of votes is scheduled to be done on May 4 and the results will be declared on the same day.
Notably, Assam recorded a historical voter turnout in the recently-concluded elections at 85.9%, the highest turnout ever recorded by the state.
Among the key players who contested the elections for the 126 constituencies in Assam are:
Published April 30th 2026, 20:15 IST